Every spring, huge blooms of phytoplankton erupt across the North Atlantic and other mid- and high-latitude oceans, feeding the marine food web and helping pull carbon into the deep ocean. Scientists have long disagreed about what triggers them: one camp argues it’s driven by light, as the surface ocean layer shallows in spring; another argues it’s driven by predators, when there are simply too few grazers left to keep pace with phytoplankton growth.
I built and tuned a simple ocean ecosystem model to test both ideas directly, running controlled experiments that isolated each mechanism. The result: neither explanation fully works alone. Both light and grazing pressure matter, and what actually triggers a bloom depends on the interplay between them, a more nuanced answer than either camp’s original theory.
